On the Current Situation in Bangladesh as on 21 Dec 2025 (After Osman Hadi’s Killing)

Folks, sharing some thoughts on the recent developments in Bangladesh in the aftermath of killing of Osman Hadi.
Let’s see how it goes.
At the outset, I’ll share this tweet from almost exactly 1yr ago. Things happening almost exactly as mentioned

Moving ahead, let me introduce Osman Hadi to those who do not know him.
Here he is, yapping about Indian hegemony.
Do watch.             

Mind you, this is not about celebrating his death.
But instead, this is to highlight the idiotic and utopian idea of Bangladesh being equal to India that he harboured .. something that is still being chanted by yahoos on the streets.

That said, I would take you back to the tweet quoted in the beginning of this blog post.
Hadi’s death is merely a trigger.
Even if it had been someone else in his place, there would still have been outrage and violence on streets of East Pakistan, regardless of the trigger event.

 

If you noticed me mentioning ‘East Pakistan’ instead of Bangladesh, kudos to you!
Let me explain why I refer to the current day neighbour as East Pakistan.
But that would need for us to go back to the breaking apart of erstwhile Eastern Wing of Pakistan in 1971.

Trigger for breakaway of East Pakistan in 1971 was incompatibility of Bengali identity of East Pakistan with the dominant Punjabi identity of West Pakistan. If you think current day Paakis are any less racist towards Bengalis, then you might be ‘pleasantly’ surprised with this 👇

That East Pakistan was NOT compatible with their Western masters was quite apparent as early as 1952 when the Language Riots broke out over imposition of Urdu upon East Pakistan.
21 Feb is still observed as Language Movement Day / Martyrs Day in Bangladesh : Bengali Language Movement

Then came the Bhola Cyclone of 1970 that killed nearly 500,000 East Pakistanis. To add insult to injury, the Central Govt in West Pakistan just brushed it aside and only offered token relief efforts in the days immediately succeeding it.
Why?
Because .. well .. Bengalis.
Period.

And then when the first and only truly free and fair elections happened in December 1970, Yahya Khan and Bhutto refused to honour the verdict that would have meant a Bengali Prime Minister for Pakistan, ie Mujibur Rehman. Heck, Bhutto even called them ‘Suar ke Bachche’ in a public rally in East Pakistan and cursed them to go to Jahannum!
Of course, he himself would soon reach there .. perhaps to prepare a welcome speech for them maybe?

Then came the events of 1971, commencing with Operation Searchlight wherein the Pakistan Army directly got involved in rape, genocide and targeted killings of Hindus in particular and Bengalis in general : Operation Searchlight

They raped, they killed and they burnt.
Just being a Bengali was enough of a crime, regardless of religion. Being a Hindu only added to the gravity of the crime.
Yes, those were their fellow citizens from the Eastern Wing.

 

 

A short documentary on the women that were raped and a memorial in Mujib Nagar to etch the atrocities suffered by the daughters, mothers and sisters of East Pakistan at the hands of their fellow citizens from West Pakistan Army was produced immediately after India created Bangladesh.

 

Throughout this orgy of rape and murder, the Jamaat ‘e Islami Pakistan was at the forefront with their brothers in West Pakistani Army. They fought tooth and nail to oppose the creation of Bangladesh in 1971, only to fail.

And then, in 1979, the Bangladeshi Govt of their military dictator Zia ur Rehman, Jamaat ‘e Islami was permitted to establish itself once again in the same country that it had fought tooth and nail to oppose the creation of!

What was happening was abundantly clear, esp with the benefit of hindsight as well as events in current day East Pakistan. The Bengali identity was slowly and surely subsumed by the religious identity on the basis of which India was partitioned in 1947.

In fact, Jamaat ‘e Islami was a part of the govt of Begum Khaleda Zia in 2001. Such was the turnaround, partly due to political expediency and partly also due to the growing radicalisation under the radar.

It is the same Jamaat ‘e Islami that was working furiously behind the scenes during the Aug 2024 ‘revolution’ & is working furiously today in forefront of the latest ‘revolution’.
Needless to say ISIS flags too have become part & parcel of this latest iteration of ‘revolution’.

 

 

 

 

And what is the currently popular opinion in today’s East Pakistan?
Well, they are blaming Sheikh Hasina.
Yes, more than 15 months after her ouster, the current NON-ELECTED govt of East Pakistan blames Awami League and Sheikh Hasina for their failure to ensure peace!

This only reinforces my belief that seeds of ‘revolution’ are mostly bitter!
Once the dust settles, u realize that while breaking apart a system was very easy, building it again actually takes a LOT of hard work .. something that you may not be capable of!

Dear Leader of current day East Pakistan, Nobel Laureate Yunus, who incidentally calls himself as the Chief Adviser to the Government of Bangladesh, has proved his incompetence to govern with a bang .. literally!
Of course, he never had the mandate to govern in the first place.

 

That is also why I feel that the supposed elections in East Pakistan that were to happen ‘very soon’, will not be happening at all .. atleast not in the near future.
Power without accountability is the best.
Yunus today .. perhaps a Military Dictator tomorrow?

Which brings me to the question of what happens next.
Well, in a nutshell, a LOT depends upon how Govt of India decides to act.
On that note, I agree with the yahoos of East Pakistan that it is a civilizational war. They have already chosen religion over their Bengali identity.

Now what remains to be seen is the response of the GOI.
Don’t get me wrong .. I know there are a LOT of other interested actors fuelling the fire in East Pakistan today. But the end aim for most of them is to have Indian attentions and resources diverted there, even if partly.

 

As @TrulyMonica mentioned in her tweet screenshotted above, the masks are well and truly off. Debating the reason for their animosity at this point in our history is moot. What needs to be seen is what do we do (or don’t do, for that matter).

So far, by NOT doing much since the Aug 2024 ‘revolution’, GOI has ended up giving enough rope to current rulers of East Pakistan to hang themselves, figuratively of course.
And then there is the dead body of the radical Osman Hadi buried six feet under with full State protocol.

Btw, THIS is how they treated the mortal remains of their own soldiers not so long ago.
Make of it whatever you will.

Bottomline is that East Pakistan has once again reared its ugly head on our eastern borders. The only consolation is that they don’t have nukes, thanks to 1971.
But they do dream of a nuke umbrella from their West Paaki brethren!
This is a retired Colonel of Bangladesh Army giving words to his wet dreams!

Of course, they are permitted to have their delusions.
But Indian Visa is something that they will surely and sorely miss, thanks to the violence directed at Indian diplomatic missions.
Just like last year, right after the ‘revolution’!

Whether they like it or not, survival of East Pakistan without India is virtually impossible, thanks to the curse of geography.
They still owe more than a billion dollars to Adani for the electricity, for one.
Not to mention the tonnes of other imports from India.

The only thing somewhat in favour of East Pakistan is their relatively large army that is still capable of restoring peace if push comes to a shove. And this is a military that has directly ruled East Pakistan after killing the Father of the Nation, Mujibur Rehman in 1975 itself.

But would they have the stomach for it?
Or for that matter the UNITY within their ranks for it?
What are the odds that the current generation of Brigadiers & Generals of Bangladesh Army MIGHT get inspired by the relatively recent Border Guard revolt of 2009 & join the other side?

Remember, they are already acting very coy with their West Pakistani brethren ever since the Aug 2024 ‘revolution’.
Might it be because some of them actually see them as their fathers? Especially those born in 1971-72?

 

What happens internally in East Pakistan now depends upon how the military acts, or chooses to look the other way. Yunus has unleashed a monster that he won’t be able to control for much longer, especially when IMO he doesn’t hold much power beyond being a figurehead ‘advisor’.

He will, in all probability, be the sacrificial pawn as a new regime assumes power in Dhaka within the next few months, perhaps even earlier.
And then the cycle of rhetoric and reality check and chaos will be unleashed all over again.

What happens next?
Well, for one, let this be YET ANOTHER lesson for the ‘liberals’, esp those within India.
Do go thru the three tweets quoted below, about how the sheep kept rooting for the wolf because he promised he had changed.

As far as India goes, the biggest concern currently should be yet another refugee influx in case situation in East Pakistan deteriorates further. Impact of such a chaos on the looming elections in West Bengal and Assam too cannot be emphasized enough.

But then, it was a similar refugee crisis that gave the pretext and justification for hacking off East Pakistan in the first place.
Thus, herein lies an opportunity as well.
Of course, the potential for exponential increase in chaos exists too.

But if the chaos can be contained within the current borders of East Pakistan, then I personally wouldn’t mind it very much.
This was tweeted just hours after the initial reports of ‘revolution’ / ‘coup’ in Bangladesh last year 👇

Once again, with the benefit of hindsight, one can say that one mistake that we committed in 1971 was in not retaining some territory from East Pakistan in order to overcome own geographical vulnerabilities.
Perhaps destiny is giving us another chance?

No wonder the yahoos in East Pakistan feel that it was they who defeated West Pakistan in 1971 and India unfairly took all credit and the 93,000 Brown Panted Ones. No wonder they think that they also can choke off India’s North-East with ease and capture Kolkata as well!

Btw, it is the same East Pakistan which covers broken railway tracks with jute bags and hopes for the best!
More power to them, I’d say!

Coming back to the issue at hand, India has been far too benevolent a neighbour to such people for far too long.
I have a hunch that this might be about to change soon.
Whether the first manifestation comes across East Pakistan or West, needs to be seen.

Committing Indian military along East Pakistan might give a breather to the Brown Panted Ones to the West, as also an opportunity to one again try and import some more Brahmos and other munitions from India free of cost.

Reeling as they are under grossly ‘unpredictable’ water inflows in Jhelum and Chenab, they might just try something under the (yet again) mistaken assumption that India will be restrained due to events in East Pakistan.

And what about East Pakistan, you asked?
Well they are still just as expendable for West Pakistan and their friends in the USA as they were in 1965 and 1971 Wars.
So long as West Pakistan lives, anything good or bad happening to East Pakistan is fine.

In any case, East Pakistanis are very confident that India will soon come begging to them because without their money, India cannot survive!
Of course all those lines of credit that GOI has extended to East Pakistan be damned!
This is NOT a joke, mind you!

All said and done, I don’t see any easy way out of this mess for India.
Sooner or later, we WILL see blood spilled – In our lands and beyond. Thankfully, Operation Sindoor saw mostly only Pakistani blood spilled, but don’t let that fool you.
The next round will be far bloodier.

Sooner or later, we will be left with no option but to bite the bullet. I say this as a lay person with access to only open source info. The Govt has access to not only far greater information but also far greater resources.
I shall wait to see what they do, or don’t do.

But when the dust settles, I would not only want to see atleast ‘some’ land getting added to the Union of India, but also atleast the East Pakistani Army cut down to a size of not more than 30,000.

So blinded are they in their hatred for imagined Indian hegemony that they even forget the brutal rapes that their ‘found-again’ best friends inflicted upon their mothers & grandmothers
We all know what happens to those who forget their own history, right?

Talking about history, I wrote this just a few days after the Aug 2024 ‘revolution’ in East Pakistan.
Slow and steady turn the wheels of history.
The lands of Mahishasur Mardini Mata demand more blood. That is the only way to cleanse this scourge, I’d say.

Osman Hadi was just an excuse.
I don’t care who killed him. For all we know, it was West Pakistan that got him killed just to sow chaos along India’s Eastern Borders.
Or just a jealous girlfriend.
And if it was Indian agencies, well, Boo .. Fucking .. Hoo to the bleeding hearts.

But regardless, fact remains that India continues to be a benevolent giant next door to most of its neighbours. It is in East Pakistan’s favour that things go back to as they were. Else, they might just unleash a genie that will eat them up and not even burp.

As far as West Pakistan goes, well, they have already had a taste of things throughout their history right from 27 Oct 1947 all the way till May 2025.
THAT is the reason why they are now looking to sacrifice East Pakistan all over again, just so that their part of Punjab is safe.

I don’t foresee Yunus in power beyond March 2026.
In any case, there will be no elections in East Pakistan in the foreseeable future. So whosoever comes to power next will do so either at the point of a gun or thru street power or both.
This will NOT end well for the country.

All I can say in the end is that history has indeed come a full circle for East and West Pakistan. But remember, it ended with a massive orgy or rapes and killings in East Pakistan and utter humiliation for West Pakistan.
Dare I say, it is headed much the same way all over again.

I will close this thread with my favourite phrase : ‘Brace Yourselves, Folks!’
The coming weeks & months won’t be easy.
Remember, Sagar Manthan threw up ‘Vish’ before ‘Amrit’ came by.
These days too are days of immense ‘Manthan’ the world over.
Let’s wait and watch how they go!!

In the end, I will just add the past few Blogs on East Pakistan that I wrote since Aug 2024.

On the Events Currently Underway in Bangladesh (As on 08 Aug 2024)

On the Events in Bangladesh (As on 26 Aug 2024)

On the Role of the Bangladesh Army in Recent Events

On the Current Situation in Bangladesh (As on 08 Dec 2024)

On the Current Situation in Bangladesh after Arakan Army capture of Muangdaw

That’s all, folks.
Thank you for your patience!
:FIN:

On the Current Situation in Bangladesh after Arakan Army capture of Muangdaw

(This chain of thoughts was tweeted on the night of 16 Dec 2024. Link to the thread on Twitter: https://twitter.com/CestMoiz/status/1868683636066939125 )

Sharing some thoughts on the recent moves by the Arakan Army on the Bangladesh-Myanmar Border.

Let’s see how this one goes ..

Let me just begin with this bombastic video of Bangladesh Army veterans threatening to capture Kolkata within four days! Very bombastic, I’d say .. especially when their own generation got the blunt end of the stick from Pakistanis in 1970-71 and couldn’t do anything about that!

Unfortunately for these geriatric idiots, while they were turned towards Kolkata, right behind them came the Arakan Army which established control over Bangladesh-Myanmar border. As always, these erstwhile East Pakistanis got totally surprised from behind (PS: All Possible Puns Fully Intended!)

It is still open to debate whether the Arakan Army did that with the backing of the Chinese or the Americans (I personally bet on Chinese hand, but that is just a gut feeling). But regardless, that border is now sealed for the immediate future atleast.

Implications of that on poor old Bangladesh are a tad unfortunate. It means that the only land border that still permits import of essential goods such as potatoes, sugar, COTTON FOR THEIR TEXTILE INDUSTRY, refined petroleum products etc, is the Indian border!

Oh, and electricity too! On that note, I wonder whether the amount payable to Adani Group for electricity supply has crossed $1Bn yet! Of course, the Bangladeshis threaten to import electricity via Nepal but unfortunately that too would depend upon Indian benevolence for transit!

Why I wrote the above is that if you noticed, the open anti-India rhetoric of Bangladesh in the immediate aftermath of their August ‘Revolution’ has scaled down immensely over the past few days. On that note, I will just leave this tweet here before moving on!

(Link to above tweet : https://x.com/CestMoiz/status/1821003841254408320 )

Adanis have already reduced electricity supply by 50% and Tripura too has nearly cut down entirely, the electricity they were supplying to Bangladesh due to non-payment of dues.

Aur karo revolution!

But coming back to the happenings on the Myanmar-Bangladesh Border .. The first thought that came to my mind when I first heard about the capture and sealing of the border by Arakan Army some days ago was SYRIA.

Seriously.

Let me try and explain why.

Ever since the August ‘Revolution’, people in India have been talking about retaking Indian territory lost to Pakistan in 1947. To be fair, I too added a lot of fuel to this fire, especially when it comes to the Chittagong area.

(Link to above tweet : https://x.com/CestMoiz/status/1828448057689809315 )

And this is why the Arakan Army moves in Muangdaw become so interesting.

What are the odds that if and when India actually decides to make a move in that area, the Chinese(?) backed won’t try and beat us to it, especially to the strategic port of Chittagong?

Mind you, I write the above merely as a hypothetical scenario, but still, one that has been playing on my mind for some time now.
What makes this thought more interesting is this :

(Link to above tweet : https://x.com/NepCorres/status/1868598478320075103 )

Depending on who you listen to, the Arakan Army have been shelling areas in Bangladesh from across the border or as per some, they have already invaded Bangladesh territory and taken over the town of Teknaf!
But regardless, things are not too happy for the clown in Dhaka.

I totally agree with Col Hunny Bakshi below that one thing is for sure – Refugee influx in India in large numbers.

I will come to that in a while. But first let us get to the geography of the area.

It is rightly called the Bay of Bengal. The underlying context is that whoever controls Bengal, controls it.

You may want to mull over the above thought for a moment before moving ahead.

Moving on, it is India that controls not just Bengal but also both points of entry into Bay of Bengal – the Malacca Straits as well as the Indian Ocean route.

I say India controls Bengal, keeping in mind the relatively recent reality of a country called East Pakistan / Bangladesh.

There have been reports of the USA looking for a base in St Martin’s Island in Bangladesh and the Chinese looking at the Sittwe Port.

Needless to say none of these will be viable without Indian support or atleast an Indian nod.

Feel free to disagree with what I wrote above.

What I am coming to, is the fact that if things continue to fester, there will soon be a Syria type situation right on our borders. With too many stakeholders rushing to fill a power vacuum inside erstwhile East Pakistan, something is bound to give way.

Despite the facade of a Nobel Laureate in control, fact remains that there is still a lot of ambiguity in the power structure in charge of Bangladesh. The 84 years old geriatric ‘Advisor’ can very easily be discarded by the real power, if needed.

Link to tweet : https://x.com/CestMoiz/status/1865723952452309330

However, that still does not solve the problem of the true face behind the mess that Bangladesh is in today. Of course, it is quite well known to be General Waker uz Zaman, with the backing of Pakistan to boot, but he is still not the ‘Face’.

Link to tweet : https://x.com/CestMoiz/status/1828452899699015992
(Link to tweet : https://x.com/CestMoiz/status/1828452899699015992 )

Of course, when things go further South, he can suddenly and magically come forward as the ‘Saviour’, aka his heroes Musharraf, Zia ul Haq, Yahya and Ayub Khan and of course the countless Bangladesh Army Coup makers as well!

But the big question to ask is, who will he save Bangladesh from?

And HOW?

Will it be from India?

Of course, it will be from India!

But HOW is the big question!

The simple answer is – No Way!

At best, the Bangladesh Army can be a pinprick. At worst, they can just fold and surrender, just like their heroes, the Brown Panted Ones of Pakistan. Btw, greetings on Vijay Diwas ye all!

The yahoos in charge of Bangladesh with Pakistani blessings are the sons and grandsons of these very unfortunate women. Cynically speaking, these bastards are just yearning for the love of their fathers and grandfathers sitting in Pakistan. (Do read the snippet below. I INSIST)

Carrying on, let us see the similarities between the current situation and 1971.

1. Democratically elected govt NOT permitted to be in power.

2. Looming threat of refugee crisis.

3. Superpower rivalry in Bay of Bengal (Apart from US and China, Russian Navy too visited recently)

 

4. Chaos on the streets of Bangladesh.

5. Rampant persecution and killings of minorities.

6. Economic stress due to non-existent law and order.

7. NO FRIENDS IN VICINITY TO SEEK HELP FROM.

We can keep adding to this list, but I think you get my gist.

As the wheels of history move faster and faster, there will be more and more chaos.
But remember, new Order can only emerge from Chaos. This is what happened after WW2, after 1971 and if we play our cards well, this is what will happen after 2024 as well.

We may do it tomorrow,

Or we may do it in a couple of months,

Or in a couple of years’ time ..

But fact remains that if we don’t, someone else will. I’d much rather see Feni / Chittagong and Rangpur in Indian map instead of someone else’s.

In any case, Bangladesh as we knew prior to 05 Aug 2024, no longer exists and will not come back either.

They made their bed. Now they sleep in it.

Unfortunately for them, they decided to sleep with the Pakistanis in this case. The result will be another break-up of their country.

Bangladesh is not merely landlocked with India on 95% of its borders, it is also at the mercy of the Indian Navy across its shores. The Indian Navy has had a free run of Bangladesh ports earlier, destroying targets at will, thanks to the mighty Vikrant. If it ever comes to a race for Chittagong and other ports of present day Bangladesh, I am sure they would just as brilliantly complement their Indian Army counterparts in 2024-25 as they did in 1971.

As a further exercise, just plot the Indian Air Force bases around Bangladesh!

What will Shri Waker uz Zaman and his fauj of geriatrics do?
Answer – Nothing.
They might beg the world for help.
But that won’t change their fate.

Begging for US and Chinese aid didn’t help their illegitimate fathers in 1971 when India was relatively much weaker than it is now. Further, state of relations of present day India with most world powers is much different, as also current Indian heft in international geopolitics.

On that note, I will also share a personal view : Most Indians still remember the decidedly inimical US actions against India in 1971, but have mostly forgotten about the post Pokharan-2 sanctions of 1998.

Here’s why, in my opinion : 1998 is forgotten ‘coz sanctions were a foregone conclusion since we deliberately acted against established norms. But in 1971, we were the morally correct side & US sided with the ‘asuras’. Hence the continued memory of that event. Feel free to disagree!

(Link to above tweet : https://x.com/CestMoiz/status/1201018602712756225 )

As I come to close this thread, I will give you one more thing to do.
Just open a map of India and focus on Bangladesh.
See if that strikes you as an unnatural entity, nearly cutting off the Motherland from her North-Eastern children.
To me, it surely does

(Link to above tweet : https://x.com/CestMoiz/status/1821589668665741440 )

As I mentioned earlier, Bangladesh of 04 Aug 2024 is finished.

Let me also add that Bangladesh of 16 Dec 2024 too has no future unless they accept the fact that it is only India that can help them out of this mess that they have created for themselves.

Do mull over it for a moment

With this, I conclude this thread. Today is too momentous a day to ignore the happenings in Bangladesh. On that note, I will just leave this short thread on the occasion of #VijayDiwas here as well.

Jai Hind .. and goodnight!

Adding my previous Blog Posts on Bangladesh here, for those interested: 

On the Events Currently Underway in Bangladesh (As on 08 Aug 2024)

On the Events in Bangladesh (As on 26 Aug 2024)

On the Role of the Bangladesh Army in Recent Events (As on 27 Aug 2024)

On the Current Situation in Bangladesh (As on 08 Dec 2024)

On the Current Situation in Bangladesh (As on 08 Dec 2024)

Folks, sharing some thoughts on the current state of affairs in Bangladesh.

Let us see how it goes ..

First and foremost, let us call it for what it is currently – An attempt at re-establishing East Pakistan.

Yup, that’s what it is. Pakistan attempting to return to its erstwhile colony via proxy.

Come to think of it, conditions in East Bengal today are quite similar to what they were in 1970-71:

1. Interim Govt in place.

2. Democratically elected Govt not allowed to function.

3. Widespread and blatant atrocities against minorities and those that the current ‘govt’ doesn’t like.

The only (nominal) difference is that in 1971 it was more of a ethnic divide between the Punjab dominated rulers from West Pakistan and their Bengali subject in the East Pakistan. Now, however, it is about the Jamaat gone wild under the nominal cover of a geriatric Noble Laureate.

Make no mistake; the religious fanaticism seen during the Direct Action Day has remained very much alive in Bangladesh. For those who are not aware of the Direct Action Day, here are some (disturbing) visuals to tell you the story: 

Even in 1971, despite the ethnic origins of the situation, it was the religious minorities that bore the brunt of violence. Same was the case in 1991 post the Babri demolition as well, for those who aren’t quite aware of that fact too.

Screenshot 2024-12-08 214729

Suffice it to say, religious fanaticism in Erstwhile East Pakistan never quite went away. Instead, it was kept under a tight leash by the govt of Sheikh Hasina, which of course, was ‘conveniently’ overthrown by riotous ‘revolutionary’ mobs on the streets of Dhaka.

Of course, the sheep too participated wholeheartedly in the ‘revolution’ right alongside the wolves, not realizing that they were the ‘main course’ for the ‘revolutionaries’! Par for the course, I’d say. Sadly, they are paying for it with their blood now.

Here’s yet another sad example of sheep happily running towards their own slaughter.

MUST WATCH, I’d say.

But what I find interesting to note is the sheer outrage all these atrocities against minorities in Bangladesh by the rabid yahoos has caused within India.
Indian Media has been covering it ceaselessly.
Further, even politicians cutting across political lines have denounced it.

Why might that be so?

IMO, it gives a glimpse to atleast a few of the sheep on our side of the fate that they themselves have avoided thus far, thanks partly to the Partition of the Motherland in 1947. Also, the fate endured by our own ancestors in 1947 and before that as well.

The visuals coming out of Bangladesh every single day have definitely had an impact on the psyche of MANY within our own borders as well, either consciously or sub-consciously. I will leave it at that for the time being.

Let us instead come to the question of WHO THE HELL IS HEADING THE INTERIM GOVT IN BANGLADESH??!!

It is most definitely NOT Yunus, because he goes by the title of CHIEF ADVISOR to the Govt of Bangladesh!

Interesting, no?

I would go out on a limb and say that this gentleman is the one who holds the real power in Bangladesh.

The bumbling old Yunus is just the Fall Guy who will take the blame when the Army is ‘forced’ to take over direct control of Govt.
#JustSaying

Of course, being heavily dependent on the yahoos of the Jamaat ‘e Islami, having a lesbian daughter who drinks alcohol and dresses like this, is definitely a valid excuse to not just throw out Yunus at a convenient time, but also hang him if needed!

Here’s the video of the daughter of the ‘Chief Advisor to the Govt of Bangladesh’ getting arrested for drunk driving after her girlfriend left her, for those interested!

Talking about Yunus .. he himself is as rabid a Leftist as they come .. the only difference is that he has a Nobel Peace Prize, which itself has lately come under a cloud as a tool for rewarding promising stooges!

 

Of course, it was no surprise when links with Hizb ut Tahrir emerged .. because .. well .. why wouldn’t there be such links!

(Link to above report: New advisers of Bangladesh interim government linked to terror group HuT

The plan of the ‘Deep State’ with respect to the Bangladesh Coup was perfect, except for the fact that it was Trump who ended up winning the US Presidential elections hardly a couple of months later!

And he remembered the Nobel Laureate clearly!

So what comes next ..

Well, there are two important dates that are fast approaching which I am keenly watching out for.

Firstly, 16 December, which marks 53 years of liberation of Bangladesh by the Indian Army. Secondly, 20 January, which is the day Donald Trump will be in power.

Let’s talk about 16 Dec first. It is an emotional date which is just about a week hence.

It is a part of Bangladesh history that cannot be wished away, no matter how much they try or how much they blow their own trumpet wrt Indian Trained and Indian Equipped Mukti Bahini.

Period.

This is where it will get awkward for the Bangladesh Army as well as their Brown Panted ‘brethren’ in Erstwhile West Pakistan.

The annual celebrations of this epochal event in Bangladesh will be interesting to watch out for this year for sure!

One way to avoid that would be to trigger an incident or a chain of events that would divert public attention, right? It could vary from an internal disturbance within Bangladesh to even threats / attacks on Indian diplomatic missions in Dhaka and elsewhere.

(^^ Disclaimer: JMTs)

I that regard, I really hope that tomorrow’s visit of Indian Foreign Secretary will result in a word of caution for the rabid rulers that are presiding over the pogrom of minorities in Bangladesh currently.

In fact, before moving ahead, there is one more similarity between Bangladesh of today and East Pakistan of pre-1971 vintage that comes to mind. This is about the insurgency and violence in the Indian North-East.

When East Pakistan existed, NE Insurgents had readymade bases, training and equipment available across the border. And as soon as Pakistan was thrown out, the Mizo insurgency ended in 1973. Fast forward to events leading up to the Aug 2024 coup and transpose it on the levels of violence in North-East and see if you find a pattern. I’ll just leave it at that for the time being.

Coming over to the next important date, i.e, 20 Jan. I get a feeling that the yahoos are trying to inflict as much damage as they can, before their Democrat benefactors in USA remit office.

To be fair, this is happening everywhere, including Ukraine.

They are expediting the influx of Pakistanis within Bangladesh while at the same time making the processing of visas for Indian citizens that much more difficult. Meanwhile military hardware too is already being shipped in for the chaos that awaits.

 

 

Well, either way, their goose is well and truly cooked.
The recent tweet by the handle of the ruling political party in India about the US Deep State has much more of a meaning behind it than just the words tweeted.
They know it too, hence their ‘rush’.

What Bangladesh refuses to see is that their destiny is well and truly linked with India. If a Pakistan could be broken up in 1971 when circumstances demanded it, so also can a Bangladesh when it becomes inevitable.

Here’s an 11 year old tweet for context.

It was a much weaker India that faced off the USA in 1971. Relatively speaking, Pak Army of 1971 in East Pakistan too was a much more dangerous enemy than the Bangladesh Army of today.

The yahoos, as always, still dream of a ‘Greater Bangladesh’.
Of course, this is the opium that the Bangladesh Army feeds them to keep them away from the increasingly desperate situation that the country is rapidly hurtling into, with their sovereign ratings going down to JUNK!

 

But what they don’t realize is that thus far it is only they who have been ‘kinetic’ when it comes to actions whereas India has been keeping its cards close to its chest. That does NOT mean that India doesn’t have any cards to play with.

Heck, even without going Kinetic, India can cause disaster for Bangladesh economy. All that is needed to be done is to cut-off road, rail and air links. The Yahoos, already crying for Indian Visas will do the rest.

Of course there is the inevitable question of Bangladesh plunging into darkness, literally, in case they don’t cough up the money they owe. But the newly ‘martial’ quom of Bangladesh are still running around with their chests puffed, having learnt from the best, i.e. Pakistan!

 

 

Heck, they have even put in a deal to import electricity from Nepal as a contingency. But what the idiots leave unsaid is that this electricity too will travel via the Indian grid, unless the Nobel Laureate has created some magical means of electricity transmission!

Bottomline: There is a great opportunity for India to set right yet more historical wrongs that have been permitted to continue thus far. What, when and how, remain to be seen. I am sure the GOI would already have contingency plans in place in any case.

Let me just get to the map from @NepCorres that I quoted a few tweets above.

Now relate it with the situation in 1971.

Some people say that the original plan in 1971 was limited capture of territory to compensate for the refugee issue and establish a Bangladesh govt. In that context, I will also share this tweet of mine just hours after the Bangladesh coup:

At this point, I would like to reiterate the phrase ‘Pig’s Neck‘ that was tweeted not too long ago!

And then there is the ‘small’ issue of Feni that is the hub of all surface connectivity with Chittagong and thereabouts.

Bottomline: There are a multitude of options available to Indian in case the situation in Bangladesh continues to fester as it is today. Add to it a relatively friendly regime in the USA even though it would not matter when it comes to national interests, just like 1971 and 1998.

If a much weaker India could brush off the economic sanctions after the nuclear tests of 1998, the India of today can afford to do so many times over. That is in case the ‘world’ dares to sanction India at all.

The ideal end case scenario that I would like to see is Indian borders expanding to protect the minorities in Bangladesh. And the Bangladesh Army cut down to size commensurate to their circumstances, no more than 30,000.

Dare I say, things are fast moving to a stage where kinetic action by India would become inevitable and inescapable. Statements by GOI as well as political parties and private citizens are increasingly calling out the blatant murder and rape of minorities happening in Bangladesh.

Those bastards can deny all that they want, but fact remains that GOI has never been this direct about such issues in past. THIS is something that Govt of Bangladesh would have already taken note of. Yet, in their hubris, they will end up losing parts of their country yet again.

They have chosen their friends.

And they have chosen their enemies as well.

In fact, they have forcibly made enemies out of not only benefactors, but those that actually made their own country a reality when they were being raped and slaughtered mercilessly.

Events of the coming weeks and months will be the history that our grandchildren will be taught in their schools. I have no doubts we have the stronger cards in this ‘game’ and this time, we may or may not be as benevolent as we historically have been.

With this, I conclude this thread. 16 Dec and later, 20 Jan are the inflection points I will be looking at. In any case, even if the current regime in Bangladesh survives a bit longer than that, they will still end up ruining their country for good.

JMTs

:fin: 

Above blog post on my Twitter : Twitter Link

I will just add my previous three threads on Bangladesh here as well:-

Blog 1: On the Events Currently Underway in Bangladesh (As on 08 Aug 2024)

Blog 2 : On the Events in Bangladesh (As on 26 Aug 2024)

Blog 3 : On the Role of the Bangladesh Army in Recent Events