Note: This chain of thoughts was first shared on Twitter on the night of 06 May 2025, barely a few hours before Operation Sindoor launched by the Indian Armed Forces
Folks, sharing some thoughts on implications of the GOI decision to hold Indus Water Treaty in Abeyance in the aftermath of the Pakistan Sponsored #PahalgamTerrorAttack. The immediate trigger for the thread is this notification by the IRSA of Bhikharistan 👇. Here goes ..
I would find it very insulting to my Motherland when people would proudly say the the Indus Water Treaty continued to be respected by India even during the wars with Pakistan. This is purely and simply, a lack of शत्रुबोध on our side.
The enemy, on the other hand, is very clear.
India is the eternal enemy for them. Always has been, and always will be.
Yes, they will mooch off us and our generosity, but at the end of the day, they won’t hesitate in destroying us, given even half a chance
Ironically, opening paragraph itself says that the Treaty is signed in a ‘Spirit of Goodwill and Friendship’.
I think that spirit got buried under the sands of the Indus Basin over and over again, in 1965, 1971, 1987, 1999, 2002. Various terror attacks by Pak only helped even more.
I will not go into the technicalities of the Treaty, except for just saying that it gave way more to Pakistan, at the cost of the interests of our own people. So much so that even the then J&K CM said so in 2014 : J&K suffered losses due to Indus Water Treaty: Omar Abdullah
So, coming on to what has been happening thus far, and what happens next ..
First and foremost, going far beyond the world of Surgical Strikes and Balakot Airstrikes, the impact of putting the IWT on hold is nothing short of a nuclear strike on Bhikharistan, IMO!
Let me elaborate..
Here is how it went previously:
Surgical Strikes : Paakis responded by blatant and vociferous denial that any such thing happened!
Balakot : Paakis responded by losing an F-16 to a MiG 21 and then being scared shitless by Indian threats into releasing Abhinandan ASAP!
Further, during both, the Balakot and the Surgical Strikes, India took great care in ensuring no collateral damage or harm to the non-military & non-terrorist Pakistani citizens. Of course, they were & continue to be ungrateful bastards, but that is a topic for another day!
In this particular instance of putting the IWT on hold, Pakistan has practically no answer except for huffing and puffing!
And this time, the action has hit home to practically each and every Bhikharistani that inhabits those lands of the Sindhu river that they stole from Bharat.
The Brown Panted Ones were anticipating another military strike (which, frankly, SHOULD still happen). They even mobilized their derelict pieces of military hardware towards the Indian borders amid much public fanfare!
But India?
Well India just yawned and didn’t mobilize at all!
Instead of moving its military, India just turned off the tap to the various rivers that had till recently, been flowing unimpeded into Pakistan! And then .. after a few days .. India opened the taps fully!
Poor Bhikharistanis .. they have absolutely no idea what to expect next!!
Basically, what India has done is something which the Brown Panted Ones had never thought of even in their wildest of dreams when giving the go-ahead for the Pahalgam Terror Attack. India introduced a paradigm shift in which, instead of uniting behind their army, Paaki population is cursing them! Moreover, this time they are also DIRECTLY feeling the impact of their wholehearted endorsement of the Pakistani terror infrastructure : ‘India can starve us’: farmers in Pakistan decry suspension of crucial water treaty
^^ So now they cry that they will starve.
Why?
Because in their (beautiful) minds, they believe that India overreacted to Packie terrorists killing 26 innocent Indian after confirming their religion!
I kid you not.
THIS is what they mean in this article screenshotted below!
Summary: INDIA CHEATED!!
Here is the link to the above article. Do read : Abandoning a legacy treaty
But if you want a crisp summary, then this tweet 👇 says it all!
Yes, Indian simply cannot stop the flow of water into Pakistan. But what India CAN, and IS doing is to regulate the flow as per our desires & our requirements instead of foolishly adhering to the terms of a treaty with an enemy which in any case was blatantly biased in his favour. We may not have the capacity to store all the water for perpetuity, but we do have the means to decide when and how much flows into Pakistan.
A few weeks’ delay and a ‘little’ bit of moderation into inflows to Pakistan can ruin an entire sowing season out there. This is what is causing so much concern in that terrorist country at this moment!
It would be safe to assume atleast double the official estimates given below as the true figure, I’d say :
And in case you feel even an iota of sympathy for those people, do try and read this article below :
If you STILL feel sorry for them, then I have a small exercise to help you get over it:
Step 1 : Take a deep breath.
Step 2 : Hold it for 26mins 11secs!
So what happens now, you ask?
Well for one, Sindh gets worried.
Why?
Because with India withholding water, Paaki Punjab will ensure that Sindh dries out first! There already were some reports of protests in Sindh about this some days back!
Mind you, even in the best of the times, Paaki Punjab has been stealing waters from Sindh. And now when the going gets tough, it is only fair to assume the ‘tough’ Punjabis will only hoard more of Sindh’s waters!
Which brings me back to the visuals of Pak Army mobilization that I talked about earlier in this thread. Did you notice that almost ALL such videos are about their mobilization in Punjab, and almost NONE in Sindh?
Interesting, no?
Just as the Brown Panted Ones gave up East Pakistan for the sake of West Pakistan in 1971, if they give up Sindh for the sake of Punjab in the next round (whenever that happens), I won’t be surprised at all!
After All, Sindh, Balochistan and KPK are all meant to serve Punjab!
What about China, where Indus and Sutlej and Brahmaputra originate, you ask? Well, firstly there is no water sharing agreement existing between India and China. Secondly, bulk of the inflows into these rivers happen on INDIAN side of the Himalayan watershed.
And lastly, even if China decides to temporarily ‘regulate’ flows into the Indus and the Sutlej, they would, in effect, be cutting off Pakistan’s water because India can just withhold outflows into Pakistan for that much longer!
Pakistan is well & truly fcuked, I’d say. Which also brings us to the possibility of a potentially bombastic/desperate measure from their Govt. They already tried the UN route & got shown their true aukaat earlier today as per this report :
Further, they have been told to ratchet down their nuclear sabre rattling that goes off the moment any hint of Indian retaliation to Pakistani terror attacks comes by. Life for them gets more and more interesting each passing minute!
What India has done is that they have turned the threats of Paaki nuclear blackmail on their head, by mobilizing the population and the administration into doing Civil Defence Drills! Not only are these necessary for a potential nuclear flare-up, but they are also equally an exercise in signalling to the world at large that this time is not like the last so many times. The Indian narrative/info warfare this time has been top-notch, I’d say.
Unfortunately, for the Brown Panted Ones, who are the true rulers of Pak, (regardless of Shehbaz Sharif prancing around as if he is the actual PM!), the only way out is to either accept defeat which their egos will never permit.
Or to strike India, which only brings more pain!
Of course, the threat of an Indian military strike still remains.
And right on cue, comes this report! 👇
The Brown Panted Ones have been testing India’s limits of tolerance since 14 Aug 1947 itself. It is only now that India is returning the favour, and that too with added interest. On a side note, here is why they are called Brown Panted Ones!
One other way out for them, possibly, is an internal coup within the Pakistan Army, something similar to the one that happened after their humiliation in 1965 wherein the self-styled Field Marshal Ayub Khan was forced out by Yahya Khan.
I am sure that atleast one section amongst the Brown Panted Ones might consider this to be possible way out, i.e., offering to remove Asim Munir by (rightly) assigning all blame for the current fiasco to him.
But even if .. and that is still a BIG IF .. that happens, will some such thing be acceptable to India?
Will the IWT be restored by India?
Will the three western rivers flow unimpeded as before?
Well, the short answer to all these questions is a BIG NO!
The Brown Panted Ones have overplayed their hand this time, and given a golden opportunity to India to do the unthinkable. A line has been crossed, that will never be reverted to now. The rules of the game have been changed for good.
The Indus Water Treaty, as it existed for past 65 yrs, is well and truly dead.
If the Paakis have any sense, they will sit down to renegotiate. Come to think of it, they don’t have a choice in this matter. Either they renegotiate a new, more balanced treaty, or they lose it all!
It is a Lose-Lose situation for them.
The only choice they have is to decide HOW MUCH are they willing to lose.
And knowing them, they will lose much more by being obstinate instead of pragmatic. It is their true nature, just like it is the nature of a scorpion to sting.
To be honest, I do not feel bad for them at all. After all, they are a country that teaches their six-year olds this 👇
Then these very six year olds grow up and ask the religion of innocent Indians and kill all who call themselves Hindus.
There is only one solution to this disease called Pakistan that has been festering on our lands since long. The sooner it is taken care of, the better it is.
Yes, there WILL be pain in the short term, but for sake of long term peace, it should be acceptable.
With this, I conclude this chain of thoughts. Hope you found it interesting. I shall just leave 3 prior threads on the Indus Water Treaty since it is so much in news currently.
Thread 1 on #IWT :
Thread 2 on #IWT :
Thread 3 on #IWT :
In the end, I will just leave this iconic photograph here without any further comment!
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