Folks, sharing some thoughts on the current state of affairs in Bangladesh.
Let us see how it goes ..
First and foremost, let us call it for what it is currently – An attempt at re-establishing East Pakistan.
Yup, that’s what it is. Pakistan attempting to return to its erstwhile colony via proxy.
Come to think of it, conditions in East Bengal today are quite similar to what they were in 1970-71:
1. Interim Govt in place.
2. Democratically elected Govt not allowed to function.
3. Widespread and blatant atrocities against minorities and those that the current ‘govt’ doesn’t like.
The only (nominal) difference is that in 1971 it was more of a ethnic divide between the Punjab dominated rulers from West Pakistan and their Bengali subject in the East Pakistan. Now, however, it is about the Jamaat gone wild under the nominal cover of a geriatric Noble Laureate.
Make no mistake; the religious fanaticism seen during the Direct Action Day has remained very much alive in Bangladesh. For those who are not aware of the Direct Action Day, here are some (disturbing) visuals to tell you the story:
Even in 1971, despite the ethnic origins of the situation, it was the religious minorities that bore the brunt of violence. Same was the case in 1991 post the Babri demolition as well, for those who aren’t quite aware of that fact too.
Suffice it to say, religious fanaticism in Erstwhile East Pakistan never quite went away. Instead, it was kept under a tight leash by the govt of Sheikh Hasina, which of course, was ‘conveniently’ overthrown by riotous ‘revolutionary’ mobs on the streets of Dhaka.
Of course, the sheep too participated wholeheartedly in the ‘revolution’ right alongside the wolves, not realizing that they were the ‘main course’ for the ‘revolutionaries’! Par for the course, I’d say. Sadly, they are paying for it with their blood now.
Here’s yet another sad example of sheep happily running towards their own slaughter.
MUST WATCH, I’d say.
But what I find interesting to note is the sheer outrage all these atrocities against minorities in Bangladesh by the rabid yahoos has caused within India.
Indian Media has been covering it ceaselessly.
Further, even politicians cutting across political lines have denounced it.
Why might that be so?
IMO, it gives a glimpse to atleast a few of the sheep on our side of the fate that they themselves have avoided thus far, thanks partly to the Partition of the Motherland in 1947. Also, the fate endured by our own ancestors in 1947 and before that as well.
The visuals coming out of Bangladesh every single day have definitely had an impact on the psyche of MANY within our own borders as well, either consciously or sub-consciously. I will leave it at that for the time being.
Let us instead come to the question of WHO THE HELL IS HEADING THE INTERIM GOVT IN BANGLADESH??!!
It is most definitely NOT Yunus, because he goes by the title of CHIEF ADVISOR to the Govt of Bangladesh!
Interesting, no?
I would go out on a limb and say that this gentleman is the one who holds the real power in Bangladesh.
The bumbling old Yunus is just the Fall Guy who will take the blame when the Army is ‘forced’ to take over direct control of Govt.
#JustSaying
Of course, being heavily dependent on the yahoos of the Jamaat ‘e Islami, having a lesbian daughter who drinks alcohol and dresses like this, is definitely a valid excuse to not just throw out Yunus at a convenient time, but also hang him if needed!
Here’s the video of the daughter of the ‘Chief Advisor to the Govt of Bangladesh’ getting arrested for drunk driving after her girlfriend left her, for those interested!
Talking about Yunus .. he himself is as rabid a Leftist as they come .. the only difference is that he has a Nobel Peace Prize, which itself has lately come under a cloud as a tool for rewarding promising stooges!
Of course, it was no surprise when links with Hizb ut Tahrir emerged .. because .. well .. why wouldn’t there be such links!
(Link to above report: New advisers of Bangladesh interim government linked to terror group HuT
The plan of the ‘Deep State’ with respect to the Bangladesh Coup was perfect, except for the fact that it was Trump who ended up winning the US Presidential elections hardly a couple of months later!
And he remembered the Nobel Laureate clearly!
So what comes next ..
Well, there are two important dates that are fast approaching which I am keenly watching out for.
Firstly, 16 December, which marks 53 years of liberation of Bangladesh by the Indian Army. Secondly, 20 January, which is the day Donald Trump will be in power.
Let’s talk about 16 Dec first. It is an emotional date which is just about a week hence.
It is a part of Bangladesh history that cannot be wished away, no matter how much they try or how much they blow their own trumpet wrt Indian Trained and Indian Equipped Mukti Bahini.
Period.
This is where it will get awkward for the Bangladesh Army as well as their Brown Panted ‘brethren’ in Erstwhile West Pakistan.
The annual celebrations of this epochal event in Bangladesh will be interesting to watch out for this year for sure!
One way to avoid that would be to trigger an incident or a chain of events that would divert public attention, right? It could vary from an internal disturbance within Bangladesh to even threats / attacks on Indian diplomatic missions in Dhaka and elsewhere.
(^^ Disclaimer: JMTs)
I that regard, I really hope that tomorrow’s visit of Indian Foreign Secretary will result in a word of caution for the rabid rulers that are presiding over the pogrom of minorities in Bangladesh currently.
In fact, before moving ahead, there is one more similarity between Bangladesh of today and East Pakistan of pre-1971 vintage that comes to mind. This is about the insurgency and violence in the Indian North-East.
When East Pakistan existed, NE Insurgents had readymade bases, training and equipment available across the border. And as soon as Pakistan was thrown out, the Mizo insurgency ended in 1973. Fast forward to events leading up to the Aug 2024 coup and transpose it on the levels of violence in North-East and see if you find a pattern. I’ll just leave it at that for the time being.
Coming over to the next important date, i.e, 20 Jan. I get a feeling that the yahoos are trying to inflict as much damage as they can, before their Democrat benefactors in USA remit office.
To be fair, this is happening everywhere, including Ukraine.
They are expediting the influx of Pakistanis within Bangladesh while at the same time making the processing of visas for Indian citizens that much more difficult. Meanwhile military hardware too is already being shipped in for the chaos that awaits.
Well, either way, their goose is well and truly cooked.
The recent tweet by the handle of the ruling political party in India about the US Deep State has much more of a meaning behind it than just the words tweeted.
They know it too, hence their ‘rush’.
What Bangladesh refuses to see is that their destiny is well and truly linked with India. If a Pakistan could be broken up in 1971 when circumstances demanded it, so also can a Bangladesh when it becomes inevitable.
Here’s an 11 year old tweet for context.
It was a much weaker India that faced off the USA in 1971. Relatively speaking, Pak Army of 1971 in East Pakistan too was a much more dangerous enemy than the Bangladesh Army of today.
The yahoos, as always, still dream of a ‘Greater Bangladesh’.
Of course, this is the opium that the Bangladesh Army feeds them to keep them away from the increasingly desperate situation that the country is rapidly hurtling into, with their sovereign ratings going down to JUNK!
But what they don’t realize is that thus far it is only they who have been ‘kinetic’ when it comes to actions whereas India has been keeping its cards close to its chest. That does NOT mean that India doesn’t have any cards to play with.
Heck, even without going Kinetic, India can cause disaster for Bangladesh economy. All that is needed to be done is to cut-off road, rail and air links. The Yahoos, already crying for Indian Visas will do the rest.
Of course there is the inevitable question of Bangladesh plunging into darkness, literally, in case they don’t cough up the money they owe. But the newly ‘martial’ quom of Bangladesh are still running around with their chests puffed, having learnt from the best, i.e. Pakistan!
Heck, they have even put in a deal to import electricity from Nepal as a contingency. But what the idiots leave unsaid is that this electricity too will travel via the Indian grid, unless the Nobel Laureate has created some magical means of electricity transmission!
Bottomline: There is a great opportunity for India to set right yet more historical wrongs that have been permitted to continue thus far. What, when and how, remain to be seen. I am sure the GOI would already have contingency plans in place in any case.
Let me just get to the map from @NepCorres that I quoted a few tweets above.
Now relate it with the situation in 1971.
Some people say that the original plan in 1971 was limited capture of territory to compensate for the refugee issue and establish a Bangladesh govt. In that context, I will also share this tweet of mine just hours after the Bangladesh coup:
At this point, I would like to reiterate the phrase ‘Pig’s Neck‘ that was tweeted not too long ago!
And then there is the ‘small’ issue of Feni that is the hub of all surface connectivity with Chittagong and thereabouts.
Bottomline: There are a multitude of options available to Indian in case the situation in Bangladesh continues to fester as it is today. Add to it a relatively friendly regime in the USA even though it would not matter when it comes to national interests, just like 1971 and 1998.
If a much weaker India could brush off the economic sanctions after the nuclear tests of 1998, the India of today can afford to do so many times over. That is in case the ‘world’ dares to sanction India at all.
The ideal end case scenario that I would like to see is Indian borders expanding to protect the minorities in Bangladesh. And the Bangladesh Army cut down to size commensurate to their circumstances, no more than 30,000.
Dare I say, things are fast moving to a stage where kinetic action by India would become inevitable and inescapable. Statements by GOI as well as political parties and private citizens are increasingly calling out the blatant murder and rape of minorities happening in Bangladesh.
Those bastards can deny all that they want, but fact remains that GOI has never been this direct about such issues in past. THIS is something that Govt of Bangladesh would have already taken note of. Yet, in their hubris, they will end up losing parts of their country yet again.
They have chosen their friends.
And they have chosen their enemies as well.
In fact, they have forcibly made enemies out of not only benefactors, but those that actually made their own country a reality when they were being raped and slaughtered mercilessly.
Events of the coming weeks and months will be the history that our grandchildren will be taught in their schools. I have no doubts we have the stronger cards in this ‘game’ and this time, we may or may not be as benevolent as we historically have been.
With this, I conclude this thread. 16 Dec and later, 20 Jan are the inflection points I will be looking at. In any case, even if the current regime in Bangladesh survives a bit longer than that, they will still end up ruining their country for good.
JMTs
:fin:
Above blog post on my Twitter : Twitter Link
I will just add my previous three threads on Bangladesh here as well:-
Blog 1: On the Events Currently Underway in Bangladesh (As on 08 Aug 2024)
Blog 2 : On the Events in Bangladesh (As on 26 Aug 2024)
Blog 3 : On the Role of the Bangladesh Army in Recent Events
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