(This chain of thoughts was tweeted on the morning of 26 Aug 2024)
Last night just as I was about to hit bed, this short thread landed up on my TL.
My first reaction was that this was inevitable!
Sharing some thoughts on this latest development. Let’s see how it goes ..
First and foremost, I will share this video of Dacca University, taken in March 1971, aired by NBC News 10 months later.
THIS is how the endgame of 1971 commenced – with the West Pakistani occupiers killing students and professors .. MUST watch the video and hear the commentary
It seems almost like a Deja Vu all over again, doesn’t it?
Given that the levels of violence for the time being aren’t of similar nature, but students clashing with armed wings of the state is a dire reminded of what happened not very long ago ..

The glamour associated with carrying out a revolution is now over. That high of ousting a government is gone and what is left is the same old country with the same old problems.
Who’d have thought there was so much hard work to do after this anarchy, no?!!
And on top of that, they are now ‘led’ by a Nobel Laureate who is even older than the allegedly senile President of the USA!
Tell me whether you are surprised at the turn of events in Bangladesh from mayhem to well .. MORE mayhem!
I, for one, am not!
In fact, I’d say that the typo wherein this handle inadvertently writes Prawns instead of Pawns is a very ironical one, given the current situation and what is likely to follow in the near future!

To put it very bluntly .. Bangladesh had a relatively stable govt and a relatively good economy, which is something to have been proud of, given the general state of other countries in SAARC. And then they decided to screw it up and take their country back by atleast two decades!
The poor ‘prawns‘ thought they were doing it of their own volition, not realising that they were merely a ‘catch’ being reeled in fast to be savoured by the vultures. But then, who can deny the heady winds of freedom to the ‘oppressed’ ones, no?
Atleast now they are free to get beaten up by their own, brand-new ‘revolutionary’ govt’s agencies! They are well and truly screwed, for the short and medium term atleast.
Even if this even quickly dies down, worse is yet to follow.
So what comes next?
Well, first and foremost, I’d say MORE CHAOS.
And I say it not with glee, or sadness, but as a very neutral observer of things going own within a sovereign country, which will soon be celebrating 53rd year of sovereignty granted to it by India.
Oh, and also the electricity bill that is due for payment to the Adani Group! People say they owe as much as $800Mn to the Adani Group. Also, the GOI has recently empowered them legally to cut-off electricity to Bangladesh in case of default!

Oh, and the erstwhile ‘fastest growing economy in Indian Sub-Continent’ also owes Rs 100Cr to Tripura for electricity supplied by them as well. Sadly, Tripura has already started demanding their legitimate dues!

Btw, before moving ahead, let me also just leave it here that leader of the largest political party in favour currently, Khaleda Zia, herself is nearly 80yrs old!
Of course she is the perfect leader for the ‘new’ country born out of this ‘new’ revolution!
Getting back to the issue of electricity, ever wondered why Adani still hasn’t turned off the switch? Would you say that this is India messaging to Bangladesh to beware of mucking things up more than they already have? Of course their yahoos STILL continue to attack minorities for most absurdest of reasons.

Bottomline is that the delusions of Bangladesh ‘burning’ India up for all their imagined grievance is just not going to happen.
But then, they are most welcome to burn their own country in the process .. which is the ‘natural’ outcome of a ‘grand revolution’ anywhere in the world.
Continued chaos in Bangladesh helps all major actors involved in it.
The only losers are the foot soldiers who are rapidly turning in to cannon fodder. Just like the March 1971 video I shared above in this blog post.
Mind you, I’d say that the currently ongoing chaos suits India as well.
India has been far too benign with her neighbours, thanks to our civilizational ethos.
Even when Khaleda Zia led BNP was ruling Bangladesh, we continued to help them. Maldives is another example. But just look around the neighbourhod and see all that hatred and resistance against India!
The yahoos justify these with the flimsiest of reasons, thanks to continued brainwashing by the usual suspects.
Might this chaos be a trigger for a change of heart amongst them? Or might it be a trigger for a ‘benevolent strictness’ on part of India?
भय बिन होए न प्रीत, right?
I wrote this about 10 years ago in context of Pakistan. It just underscores my point above.
This is the curse of geography, I’d say.
India is far too big a neighour in all respects for the immediate neighbourhood to NOT feel overwhelmed of. Thus, despite the immensely benign nature, there is a natural ‘small neighbour syndrome’.
What they don’t realize is that India is actually driving the economy of entire SAARC (less Pakistan, of course) in most respects. And we know the state of Pakistani economy, that has actively delinked itself from India.
If being benign doesn’t help, then a little bit of ‘tough love’ should be the natural outcome.
I guess, this is what Maldives saw not very long ago. And this is what Bangladesh will be seeing for the next few months as well.
At the end of the day, India’s primary concern is the safety and security of our borders and our own citizenry. Add to that the urging of PM Modi for Bangladesh interim govt to ensure protection of its own religious minorities as well.

Mind you, the way I look at the choice of words from the Indian Prime Minister in the tweet above is both in the form of a request as well as an advice.
Yes, you may read the above statement again.
Plus, it is also about India giving a long rope to Bangladesh.
Now whether they use it to rescue themselves or hang themselves with, is entirely their choice!
What happens next?
Well, first we wait for the monsoons to get over and the floods to recede so that poor ‘revolutionary’ folks can stand on dry ground again, before anything else can move ahead!
These events should NOT be seen in isolation.
The world at large is headed for a major churn. In many ways, we are already seeing the initial stages of it. The amount of chaos all around will only increase over the next few months and possibly, years.
The first major event I am waiting for, is the upcoming Presidential elections in the USA. In the meanwhile, Europe is already merrily burning itself up!
Soon to follow the US Presidential election that will herald more chaos, is the likely elections in Bangladesh. I will NOT be surprised if these get postponed for ‘some’ time.
Also coming up is the 53rd anniversary of liberation of Bangladesh. THIS is what I am personally looking forward to, just to see the yahoos back on the street cursing the very country that gave them their independence from their West Pakistani ‘brethren’!
The same West Pakistani ‘brethren’ who are now gloating at a coup against India in Bangladesh of all places. Of course they are free to believe that it is they who are making things happen and that Pakistan is not another pawn in the big game!
But I am also sure that sizeable sections in Pakistan’s ruling echelons themselves, including the Brown Panted Ones must also be alarmed at some level, lest the same treatment be meted out to them by their own yahoos! Well, that is a thread for another day, perhaps!
So as I wind up this blog post, the one point that I would like to emphasize is that IMO, chaos in Bangladesh for the time being is not bad for us. It gives us time to explore our own options. It keeps Bangladesh itself unhinged, thereby increasing our options.
I would STILL not rule out another refugee crisis on our borders with Bangladesh.
I would STILL not rule out another Mukti Bahini coming into its own, given the current state of Bangladesh.
And I would STILL not rule out a limited military action, if the GOI decides it is needed.
And I would STILL not rule out a Pig’s Neck replacing the Chicken’s Neck!
If the Bangladeshis don’t need Indian ‘help’, they are free to NOT take it. But if they think they will break apart the ‘Seven Sisters’, then all I have to say is that neighbours are not permanent!
If they were, then East Pakistan would still be around!

Of course, the above sounds a bit too jingoistic and best solution is definitely one without use of arms. But that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t keep our powder dry!

In the end, I will just reiterate what I wrote three years ago.
The world as we know it, is in the midst of a massive churn.
Brace yourselves, folks, for more chaos is on its way .. FAR MORE CHAOS!

Thank you for your patience, folks!
I close this chain of thoughts now.
I will leave this blog post that was tweeted just a few days ago as the revolution in Bangladesh had just ‘succeeded’!
Happy Janmashtami!
:Fin:





















